A September to Remember, Real Talk on Current Market Valuations & 401(k) Rollovers

Market Valuations Deep Dive, Extrapolating the Stats, and Prudence in September

This week’s show kicks off with a rapid-fire review of last week’s numbers from Wall Street so let’s jump right in. The Dow was up 0.6%, the S&P 500 was up 0.6%, and the NASDAQ – which has outperformed both the Dow and the S&P this quarter – was up 1.0%. YTD we see the Dow up 12.3%, the S&P 500 up 20.3%, and the NASDAQ up 20.7%. It’s been a September to remember, since this time of year doesn’t typically give us a positive month, especially for the Dow. The Money Wise guys admit their surprise and discuss which Fed moves may be helping the markets. Will this rally last in the long term? We simply don’t know yet. However, we seem to be at very high valuations these days, and the Money Wise guys practiced prudence in the month of September.

We’re at High Market Valuations, Folks (Or Are We?)

Let’s discuss the market valuations aspect of what we’ve been seeing. We’ve been running above the 5- and 10-year averages from a historic perspective, and being overvalued can make many investors nervous. However, let’s dig into current market valuations a bit deeper. Extrapolating the statistics and removing the Magnificent 7 from the market-cap weighted S&P 500, we see that the market is nowhere near overvalued. In fact, market valuations are below the 5- and 10-year averages. So, we continue to see how the Magnificent 7 is skewing the market valuations of the S&P when you look at valuation in totality.

In the second hour today, the Money Wise guys discuss 401(k) rollovers. You don’t want to miss the details! Tune in for the full discussion on your favorite podcast provider or at davidsoncap.com, where you can also learn more about the Money Wise guys or take advantage of a portfolio review and analysis with Davidson Capital Management.

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